Thrashers, Canes to face off in clash of surging Southeast squads

Hockey Betting Lines

03/07/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Playing at home has been good as of late for the Atlanta Thrashers, who head back to Philips Arena tonight to take on the Carolina Hurricanes in a Southeast Division showdown.

Atlanta has won its last three tests as the host team and returned from the NHL's break for the Winter Olympics to post consecutive home victories over Florida and the New York Islanders. With a win this evening, the Thrashers will have recorded their longest winning streak at Philips Arena since a seven-game tear from March 2-18, 2007.

The Thrashers' home success bodes well for a possible postseason berth, as they will play seven of their next eight games in Atlanta. The club is currently tied for ninth in the Eastern Conference with 66 points, but just two behind Montreal for the eighth and final playoff seed.

Atlanta had gone 4-0-2 over its last six overall outings before stumbling at Tampa Bay last night, with the Lightning coming away with a 6-2 win behind a three-goal first period. Thrashers goaltender Johan Hedberg was victimized for all six goals on 30 shots and had a personal three-start winning streak halted.

"Everybody knows the situation (about the playoffs) and we have to be more aware when we're out there," forward Nik Antropov remarked afterward.

On a positive note, Niclas Bergfors scored one of Atlanta's two goals and continued his strong play since coming over from New Jersey as part of the February 4 trade that sent All-Star wing Ilya Kovalchuk to the Devils. The young Swede has now netted six goals in seven games since the swap.

Although the Hurricanes are a longshot to reach the postseason after dealing away a number of veteran players at Wednesday's trade deadline, they've still been a handful for opposing teams recently. Carolina had ripped off a season- best seven straight wins before Saturday's 4-1 loss to Florida, and dealt the Thrashers a 5-2 defeat in their most recent trip to Philips Arena back on January 21.

Hurricanes captain Eric Staal had a hat trick in that game and has amassed 22 points (10 goals, 12 assists) over his last 18 contests. Forward Jussi Jokinen, who accounted for Carolina's lone score in last night's setback, has racked up 14 goals and nine assists over that same stretch.

Goaltender Manny Legace has also been on a strong run since taking over for the injured Cam Ward as the Hurricanes' main backstop. The veteran has won his last four starts and surrendered just eight goals during that span.

Rookie Justin Peters was between the pipes for Saturday's game and received his first NHL loss after allowing three goals on 29 shots. The 23-year-old had gone 3-0-0 with an outstanding 1.34 goals against average over his first three starts.

Atlanta had won the first two season meetings between these divisional foes before that January 21 home loss, but Carolina has prevailed in six of its last eight matchups as the visitor in this series.

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College Football Betting Tips From a Pro

While the NFL is the sport wagered on the heaviest, college football betting lines has become more and more popular as people realize it’s a game that can be beat. The NCAA football season gets longer each year with the addition of numerous bowl games and with that comes more opportunities for more money in your pocket, if handled correctly.

Betting on college football is not the same as with the NFL, so make sure you separate the two. Because of the vast number of teams, the parity between college football programs is slight and thus, you are going to see some high numbers in the NCAA. Teams favored by more than 40 points are not uncommon especially early in the season when teams playing their non-conference schedules.

The best advice when trying to tackle these enormous spreads and is to just stay away. A team that is favored by 40 points is favored by that many for a reason while teams getting 40 points are bad enough that they shouldn’t be touched. Set yourself a spread limit. Getting rid of these games will cut down on the number of contests that you need to handicap while staying away from backdoor or front-door covers.

What is a backdoor and front-door cover you ask? A backdoor cover is a team that is getting beat by more than the spread, but scores late to get within that number thus covering the spread. A front-door cover is just the opposite where the favorite scores late and covers the number they are favored by.

These front-door and backdoor covers are common when second and third string players enter games in college football and it can be the worst nightmare for some bettors. These players can also be your best friend, but ask any bettor and he will give you more instances on losing in this situation than winning. It just seems to work out that way even though everything evens out in the end.

College football betting has some of the softest lines of any sport and it’s being able to find these lines that will make you a successful college football handicapper. The NFL and NBA have the tightest lines around and while those sports can be beat by looking at situations and systems, college football doesn’t quite work that way. It’s much more manual, but when done correctly, it’s much more gratifying as well.

Getting into the nuts and bolts of college football means looking at the many stats in order to beat the number. As opposed to pro football, college football is less dependent on situations and angles and more on certain statistics. Rushing offense and defense, pass efficiency offense and defense and turnover margins are huge. These are vital in the NFL, but even more so when it comes to college football.

Being able to run the ball in college football has always been a key factor in the overall success of a team. The same adage also goes for teams who have the ability to stop the run. Putting these two factors together can produce some positive results in a team’s record both straight up and against the spread. These numbers show huge differences in teams and the spread may not take those into effect, which is where the value comes into play.

Passing yardage numbers both for and against can be a misinterpreted statistic. However, pass efficiency has always been one of the best ways to look at a teams’ passing game ability both offensively and defensively. But is it really a true indication of how they perform? I wouldn’t say so since they are raw passing numbers with nothing else taken into consideration.

I use pass efficiency ratings when doing my handicapping but I adjust my numbers based on a number of factors including power ratings, strength of schedules, personnel and injuries. This gives a much better picture of a team’s ability to pass effectively and also being able to defend the pass. Tweaking pass efficiency stats instead of raw passing yards is the key.

Turnovers are the single most frustrating, and at times the most gratifying, aspect of a college football lines, mostly because they are so unpredictable. They are part of the game and most of the time nothing can be done to control them. However, turnovers are contagious and they can carry over from game to game and season to season.

It’s important to know how to forecast these unforeseen events and how to use them to your advantage. You can find ways to give yourself an edge by looking at past histories of teams and coaches and how they have fared in turnover wars in the past. Instead of turnovers hurting you at the wrong times, find ways to use them to your advantage.

As you can see, college football handicapping is very labor intensive and isn’t just based on where teams are ranked in the AP and coaches polls. Experience, coaching and match-ups are all important since unlike the NFL, college teams turn over much more often with new personnel at most positions every single year. Keeping current on this information is vital.

Betting NCAA football can be lucrative if done correctly, but more importantly, it’s just plain enjoyable because it can be beat. College football is one of the best sports to watch with some of the best rivalries taking place in all of sports. The only downfall is that a championship isn’t decided on the field but on a computer-based system that is the Bowl Championship Series. That will change someday and we will all be better off for it.

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